{"id":4691,"date":"2026-05-05T19:50:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T22:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/?p=4691"},"modified":"2026-05-05T19:50:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T22:50:03","slug":"pesquisa-aponta-empate-tecnico-entre-lula-e-flavio-bolsonaro-em-eventual-segundo-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/?p=4691","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa aponta empate t\u00e9cnico entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro em eventual segundo turno"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Um novo levantamento do instituto Real Time Big Data divulgado nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (5) indica um cen\u00e1rio de forte equil\u00edbrio na disputa presidencial de 2026. De acordo com a pesquisa, o senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente do presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) em um eventual segundo turno, mas dentro da margem de erro, configurando empate t\u00e9cnico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\"  title=\"\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"505\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image.png?resize=640%2C505&#038;ssl=1\"  alt=\"%blogdomagao %mag\u00e3o %magao %blog @not\u00edcias\"  class=\"wp-image-4692\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image.png?w=879&amp;ssl=1 879w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image.png?resize=300%2C237&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image.png?resize=768%2C606&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Segundo os dados, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro registra 44% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, enquanto Lula soma 43%. A diferen\u00e7a de apenas um ponto percentual est\u00e1 dentro da margem de erro do levantamento, o que impede afirmar uma lideran\u00e7a consolidada de qualquer um dos candidatos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O cen\u00e1rio refor\u00e7a a polariza\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 observada em pesquisas anteriores, nas quais os dois nomes aparecem como principais for\u00e7as pol\u00edticas na corrida pelo Pal\u00e1cio do Planalto. Outros levantamentos recentes tamb\u00e9m v\u00eam apontando disputas acirradas entre os dois, com varia\u00e7\u00f5es m\u00ednimas dentro do limite estat\u00edstico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pesquisa Real Time Big Data faz parte de uma s\u00e9rie de sondagens que avaliam poss\u00edveis cen\u00e1rios eleitorais para 2026. Os dados ajudam a medir o humor do eleitorado e o n\u00edvel de competitividade entre os principais pr\u00e9-candidatos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al\u00e9m da inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto, levantamentos do instituto tamb\u00e9m t\u00eam mostrado altos \u00edndices de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o para ambos os nomes, indicando que a disputa deve ser marcada por forte divis\u00e3o do eleitorado e campanhas intensas ao longo do processo eleitoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Especialistas apontam que, com o cen\u00e1rio ainda indefinido e distante do pleito, fatores como alian\u00e7as pol\u00edticas, desempenho do governo e conjuntura econ\u00f4mica podem influenciar significativamente o comportamento dos eleitores nos pr\u00f3ximos meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Metodologia<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Foram ouvidas&nbsp;<strong>2.000 pessoas<\/strong>&nbsp;em todo o pa\u00eds entre os dias<strong>&nbsp;2 e 4 de maio<\/strong>. A margem de erro \u00e9 de&nbsp;<strong>dois pontos percentuais<\/strong>, para mais ou para menos. O \u00edndice de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de<strong>&nbsp;95%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O levantamento foi realizado com&nbsp;<strong>recursos pr\u00f3prios do instituto<\/strong>&nbsp;e est\u00e1 registrado no&nbsp;<strong>TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral)<\/strong>&nbsp;sob o protocolo&nbsp;<strong>BR-03627\/2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fonte: CNN Brasil<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Um novo levantamento do instituto Real Time Big Data divulgado nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (5) indica um cen\u00e1rio de forte equil\u00edbrio na disputa presidencial de 2026. De acordo com a pesquisa, o senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente do presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) em um eventual segundo turno, mas dentro da margem [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4693,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1","featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1",532,299,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?resize=150%2C150&ssl=1",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=300%2C169&ssl=1",300,169,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1",532,299,true],"large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1",532,299,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1",532,299,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogdomagao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/flavio-lula.webp?fit=532%2C299&ssl=1",532,299,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"magao","author_link":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/?author=1"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/?cat=12\" rel=\"category\">POL\u00cdTICA<\/a>","tag_info":"POL\u00cdTICA","comment_count":"0","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4691"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4691\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4694,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4691\/revisions\/4694"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdomagao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}